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When the NYT (no direct link due to their silly registration policy) notes newfound attention to nuclear detonation survival, we have entered an interesting new phase of the 21st century.
Here's the document referenced in the article.
A more realistic, less happy-talk (e.g., modeling effects of weapons greater than 10kt) presentation is here:
Vulnerability of populations and the urban health care systems to nuclear weapon attack – examples from four American cities
Maybe it's clear now why this resource has been in the WRSA left margin since launch.
But remember -- 85% of nuclear weapons effects are heat and blast.
The hard work comes in the aftermath -- not from radiation so much as the consequences of a devastated society.
See this excerpt from the "Vulnerability" resource above:
...The nationwide trend of locating a majority of the major urban health care institutions in downtown areas would result in a staggering loss of the total institutional health care delivery following nuclear weapon use. Data is shown for the four example cities in Table 4, though we have seen very similar results in the 20 largest U.S. urban areas (data not shown).
The four cities in Table 4 show 50–56% loss of hospital beds within a 20 mile radius of a 550 Kt detonation, and a 41–43% loss of beds at a 40 mile radius from a downtown ground zero. These results are strikingly similar in view of the very different geographic and demographic landscapes of these four cities. When considering the actual number of hospitals lost, Washington D.C., New York, and Chicago are similar in magnitude of the percentage of hospitals lost, between 41–48% within 20 miles, and 33–37% lost within 40 miles of the detonation. Atlanta, which is the smallest city of the test sample, had a smaller percentage of hospitals lost compared to the others. Due to the pattern of having the larger hospitals in the downtown area, Atlanta still had a similar percentage of bed loss, even though the number of hospitals lost overall was smaller...
Are you ready?