How Many Shoes?
Here's another thought-provoking essay from former Marine/software entrepreneur/professional irritant Tom Baugh, author of Starving The Monkeys, which begins:
Imagine the following. Assume that the world has collapsed into chaos, and among the many survivors are two individuals in particular: Survivor A and Survivor B. Survivor A has ten pairs of shoes stored for the collapse, while Survivor B has a thousand pairs of shoes socked away. Survivor A takes loving care of each pair, while Survivor B runs his shoes hard, wearing them out and then grabbing another off the shelf.
Question: After fifty years, how many shoes does each survivor have to pass on to his
Think hard. Hint: this is a trick question.
Answer: No shoes remain fifty years hence. It doesn't matter how many shoes you store away, or how much care you put into them, after five decades the materials in them are shot. They may still look like shoes, but wear them for a week or so and the truth will be told. Neither survivors' grandchildren will have any shoes. Assuming that each survivor and his children and grandchildren lived long enough to notice, of course.
No shoes. Or tires. Or grease. Or tractors. Or root canals. Or just about anything you care to name. Except maybe chickens or goats or unfired rounds of ammunition buried somewhere, the owner long dead. And even those would be suspect if unearthed one day.
At some point, Roman nobles, seeing their aqueduct and road contracting businesses starting a downturn, decided to raise a few chickens. Two or three generations later these families were chicken farmers. There isn't anything wrong with being a chicken farmer, of course, but it helps to have roads upon which to transport those chickens to market and water to give them along the way. But, no one knew how to build or maintain these things any more. Besides, most of the stones in those roads and aqueducts which remained had been pried loose for building huts. Such is the end-state of a slow collapse. Life gets hard fast, and stays that way, if you are just one of millions of chicken farmers with no other professions to be found...
Read the rest.
Remember the overarching organizational premises for this shop?
- We're screwed
- There's gonna be a fight
- Let's win
"Winning" is a concept that extends over time, and which morphs as that timeline expands.
In the first instance, it means surviving the collapse, as I noted here:
1) Survive the first die-off.
2) Keep your kids alive.
3) Kill the enemy.
4) Keep fighting.
5) Stay alive.
But let's assume that you and enough of your tribe have done that.
Food for thought and further research, wouldn't you say?